Forecast: D2D market worth over $43bn by 2034
November 7, 2025
By Chris Forrester
Allied Market Research (AMR) estimate thats the Direct-2-Device (D2D) satellite market will by 32.7 per cent CAGR from 2025 to 2034, and take a market currently valued at some $2.5 billion (€2.1bn) to reach $43.3 billion by 2034.
“The Government and Public Safety segment is projected to be the most lucrative segment during the analysis period, said AMR. Key factors fueling the growth of the direct satellite-to-phone cellular market include rising demand for ubiquitous mobilide connectivity, growing need to provide coverage in remote and disaster-prone areas, and increasing demand for flexible, resilient communication solutions that operate beyond traditional cellular network boundaries.
Direct satellite-to-phone cellular plays a critical role in modern connectivity strategies, especially with the increasing shift toward mobile-first solutions by enterprises, governments, and consumers seeking uninterrupted communication across regions. The growth of the direct satellite-to-phone cellular market is driven by the rising demand for global connectivity, greater adoption of satellite-enabled mobile devices, and a heightened need for resilient communication tools among users. In addition, the growing number of extreme weather events and infrastructure gaps, such as in rural and maritime areas, has increased demand for reliable satellite-based solutions.
However, challenges such as high device costs, spectrum regulations, and variability in network performance may hinder market expansion. Nonetheless, opportunities remain strong due to innovations in satellite technology, customized service plans, and the expansion of low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite constellations and strategic partnerships. As mobile communication needs continue to evolve, direct satellite-to-phone cellular is expected to become an increasingly vital tool for ensuring ubiquitous, secure, and sustainable connectivity across diverse environments and use cases.
North America and Europe dominate the direct satellite-to-phone cellular market due to strong satellite infrastructure, early adoption of non-terrestrial network (NTN) technologies, and robust regulatory frameworks for mobile and broadband connectivity. In the US, market growth is fueled by partnerships between satellite operators and mobile network providers to extend coverage in rural and underserved regions. In Europe, demand is driven by government-backed connectivity initiatives, growth in interest in resilient communication networks, and widespread investments in 5G-satellite convergence.
Asia-Pacific and Latin America are experiencing rapid growth in the direct satellite-to-phone cellular market, propelled by the need for expanding mobile coverage in remote and disaster-prone areas, rising smartphone penetration, and growing investments in space-based communication systems. Countries like India, China, and Brazil are embracing satellite-to-cell technology to bridge the digital divide, supported by public-private partnerships, regulatory support for spectrum access, and increasing innovation in hybrid satellite-terrestrial network deployments, concluded ADR.
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