Hong Kong’s mobile services market is entering a new phase of data-driven growth, underpinned by widespread 5G adoption, rising mobile internet usage, and strong demand for high-speed connectivity. As consumers and businesses increasingly embrace data-intensive applications, operators are accelerating investments in network capacity and premium digital services, positioning the market for steady revenue expansion through 2030, forecasts GlobalData, the intelligence and productivity platform.

GlobalData’s Hong Kong Mobile Broadband Forecast (Q4-2025) reveals that Hong Kong’s mobile services market is set to increase at a moderate compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 2 per cent from $2.9 billion (€2.5bn) in 2025 to $3.2 billion in 2030.

Mobile voice service revenue will decline at 7.6 per cent CAGR over the forecast period, in line with the steady drop in mobile voice ARPU levels as users increasingly shift to OTT-based communication platforms, and operators bundle free voice minutes to service plans.

Mobile data service revenue, on the other hand, will increase at a CAGR of 3.5 per cent between 2025 and 2030, thanks to the continued rise in mobile internet subscriptions, especially with growing adoption of higher ARPU-yielding 5G services. Strong demand from cross-border travellers, business users, and high data consumption in a dense urban environment is reinforcing the market’s shift toward data-led monetisation.

Neha Mishra, Telecom Analyst at GlobalData, commented: “The average monthly data usage over mobile networks is forecast to increase from 9.7 GB in 2025 to 32.6 GB in 2030, driven by an increase in the consumption of bandwidth heavy online video and social media content on the back of 5G service expansion and data-centric plans promoted by MNOs.”

5G will remain the leading mobile technology in terms of subscriptions through 2030, supported by extensive network coverage, growing adoption of 5G-enabled smartphones, and increasing availability of premium data-centric mobile plans for bandwidth-intensive applications.

In addition, OFCA’s auction of 50 MHz spectrum in the 2.5/2.6 GHz band and its subsidy scheme for rural and remote areas are expected to enhance network capacity and service quality, supporting further 5G adoption over the forecast period.

China Mobile Hong Kong (CMHK) led the mobile services market in Hong Kong in terms of mobile subscriptions in 2025, followed by 3 Hong Kong. CMHK will retain its leadership through to 2030, supported by strong position in the prepaid segment, and focus on 5G mobile network expansion and modernisation initiatives and new service launches.

Mishra concluded: “Competition in Hong Kong’s mobile market will increasingly be shaped by high-value data services and 5G-led differentiation. With near-ubiquitous 5G coverage and a highly urban, data-intensive user base, operators will focus on premium plans, seamless indoor coverage, and enterprise solutions to sustain ARPU. Strategic emphasis on network quality, ultra-fast speeds, and value-added digital and roaming services will be key to maintaining competitive positioning.”

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Tags: 5G, globaldata, Hong Kong, mobile